After decades of decline, accidental drowning rates are rising in the US, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has reported. With Americans getting ready to hit swimming pools and beaches on Memorial Day weekend, a new study shows many lack the skills they need to stay safe in the water.
Roughly 15% of US adults, 40 million people, say they don’t know how to swim. More than half of adults have never taken a swimming lesson, according to a new national survey by the CDC. The new data on swimming skills in the US population is included in a Vital Signs report released Tuesday by the CDC.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebacker Shaquil Barrett is seen playing with the team in 2022. Tyler Kaufman/AP
It comes on the heels of an increase in drowning deaths in the US in the years following the pandemic. Each year, on average, about 4,000 Americans died from accidental drowning, a number that changed little from 2011 to 2020.
But that number has been about 10% higher the last few years, adding 500 to 600 more deaths each year to the annual tally. It’s the first uptick in drowning rates in the US for at least two decades.
“When I just look at the overall numbers, with over 4,000 people dying – that’s over 12 people a day – that’s really one person every two hours. And those are lives, not numbers,” said Dr. Debra Houry, who is chief medical officer for the CDC.
The increases in drownings were even more dramatic for certain ages and racial groups.
Drowning has long been the leading cause of death for preschool-age children. Drowning rates increased almost 30% in this age group in 2021 and 2022. Though the number of drowning deaths in children ages 4 and younger increased among young children in 2020, the rate increase was not statistically significant that year.
Black people also saw drowning rates increase faster than the general population — compared to 2019, they were nearly 30% higher in 2021. That’s despite the fact that Black Americans reported spending less recreational time in the water than White and Hispanic people. If drowning rates were calculated based on exposure, rather than population, the study authors noted, it’s likely the disparities for Blacks would be even more pronounced.
Additionally, the CDC’s swimming skills survey found that 1 in 3 Black adults said they couldn’t swim compared to 1 in 7 adults in the general population, a legacy of segregation and discrimination in access to swimming pools in the US, according to the CDC.
HOUSTON, TEXAS – JULY 19: A child watches others swim at the Emancipation Swimming Pool on July 19, 2022 in Houston City. The National Weather service has issued an excessive heat warning across Texas this week with predicted highs ranging from 102 degrees F in Houston to 112 degrees Fin Dallas-Fort Worth, while temperature highs in the South Plains are expected to fall somewhere between. (Photo by Brandon Bell/Getty Images) Brandon Bell/Getty Images
Hispanic Americans, a group that doesn’t traditionally have disproportionately higher drowning rates compared with White non-Hispanics also saw drowning rates increase by nearly 25% in 2022, compared to 2019.
American Indian and Alaska Natives continued to have the highest rates of drownings of any racial or ethnic group overall. In 2019, there were about 3 drowning deaths for every 100,000 people among American Indian and Alaska Natives, a rate that has seen little change over the course of the pandemic. By comparison, there were 1.2 accidental drowning deaths for every 100,000 among White people in 2019.
Houry says it’s hard to say exactly how the pandemic may have played a role in the increases. The study can only make associations — it can’t untangle the causes — but she says looking back, it was harder to get into public pools. Many pools closed or implemented policies that limited access. Staffing was also problematic for many swim venues.
“There would have been people, if swimming pools were closed for that year, who didn’t get swim lessons and so might have been behind in getting swim lessons,” Houry said.